Summaries/AI/MachineLearning/Statistics.md

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2022-08-09 21:04:44 +02:00
---
title: Statistics
updated: 2022-04-02 15:10:58Z
created: 2021-05-04 14:58:11Z
---
# Statistics
## Data Types
- **Categorical**
- **Nominal Variables**
Intrinsic order of the labels:
Country of birth (Argentina, England, Germany)
Postcode
Vehicle make (Citroen, Peugeot, ...)
- **Ordinal Variables**
Can be meaningfully ordered are called ordinal:
Student's grade in an exam (A, B, C or Fail)
Days of the week (Monday = 1 and Sunday = 7)
- **Numerical**
- **Discrete**
how many cards in a game?
integers
- **Continuous**
height of a room
floating point numbers
What are proportions?
Is an aggregation of nominal data to provide a numerical figure. eq a percentage of nominal variables.
## Mixed Variables
- Observations show either numbers or categories among their values
- Number of credit accounts (1-100, U, T, M) U = unknown, T = unverified, M = unmatched)
- Observations show both numbers and categories in their values
- Cabin (Titanic) (A15, B18, ...)
## Distributions
![48751b057b60e03ec51f64e3235fa1b3.png](../../_resources/48751b057b60e03ec51f64e3235fa1b3.png)
Selecting something on de x-axis in the middle has an higher probability then rarer on to the edges.
Bell curve of Normal Distribution
![be8b17237548f72ecd8013f80df036dc.png](../../_resources/be8b17237548f72ecd8013f80df036dc.png)
Bi-mode distribution
![b7f8b2f785a9637ea5a22abe2877bca5.png](../../_resources/b7f8b2f785a9637ea5a22abe2877bca5.png)
Skewed distribution
Sample Distribution
![34262aff59c5f5dd9a413b2b3d74629a.png](../../_resources/34262aff59c5f5dd9a413b2b3d74629a.png)
$$
\overline{X} == variance
$$
## Sampling ande Estimation
eg
some best number of successes divided by the sampling, gives an estimate 10 / 3 = 3,3333
$$
\Theta == estimate with some variance around to make a good guess out of the sample
$$
![846c953521751f708bd680556dc9ae0b.png](../../_resources/846c953521751f708bd680556dc9ae0b.png)
So given an sample we have am 95% confidence out sample estimate is in this interval.
If less sure of this theta, the larger the confidence interval. eq because the n is much smaller.
![d575f021de579d10e3855c763198e7bc.png](../../_resources/d575f021de579d10e3855c763198e7bc.png)
## Hypothesis Testing
![981ea34418a595b422aab0b0df23f4b6.png](../../_resources/981ea34418a595b422aab0b0df23f4b6.png)
In Hypothesis Testing never:
- prove anything
- never accept the null hypothesis
## P-values
consider a null Hypothesis:
Hypothesis Test asses ig our sample is extreme enough to reject the null.
The p-value then measure how extreme our sample is.
![6af1399567c87fcda04a6414efbe18bf.png](../../_resources/6af1399567c87fcda04a6414efbe18bf.png)
## P-hacking
![ace369b638966681b9558c42e25dd0b4.png](../../_resources/ace369b638966681b9558c42e25dd0b4.png)